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Faculty and Staff

ESS Prof Discusses Recent New York Wildfires and the New Normal of Extreme Weather Conditions

By
Antonia Gentile
Posted
November 26, 2024

Associate Professor of Environmental Studies and Science Matthew Aiello-Lammens, PhD, was quoted in a , and specifically, the recent wildfires in New York State, and whether these are expected to be annual occurrences or represent a rare coming together of atmospheric conditions.

Aiello-Lammens said, 鶹ýThe new normal isn鶹ýt necessarily droughts or floods. The new normal is really the unpredictability of extreme events. It鶹ýs hard to know whether you鶹ýre going to get a drought year versus a flood year. But with the way climate is changing, the thing that we are confident about is that the extremes are becoming more frequent. What we鶹ýre not confident about necessarily yet is how to predict these extremes.鶹ý

The article also addressed whether conditions in New York forests are similar to or different than those out West, an area of the country that is quite familiar with wildfires, with Aiello-Lammens adding that they don鶹ýt different dramatically.

鶹ýThey鶹ýre all fire prone ecosystems,鶹ý he said. 鶹ýHere, there are plenty of accelerants鶹ýscrub oak and pitch pine鶹ýthat can spread fire quickly and they鶹ýre surrounded by dense forest of hardwood trees. It just happens to be that we see a fair amount of precipitation in the Northeast. So, when you have these periods of dry spells, you鶹ýre bound to get these fires. Warm, dry conditions are good for drying out the leaf material that鶹ýs dry and dead. And they鶹ýre good for moving fire once it gets going."

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